May 21, 2008

TBA Standings Outcomes

I'm just hoping this isn't Big Brown's (480) last race. If he wins he'll have a total score of 660,
3*180 for the TC wins = 540 +120 for the Gr I Florida Derby = 660

That would have only won the TBA standings once out of the last 5 years.
Curlin = 840
Bernardini = 720
St Liam = 715
Ashado = 860
Aldebaran = 650

Look we all know the TBA standings aren't perfect and we can talk about the good and bad things about the above winners till were blue in the face. The point I'm trying to make is that I don't believe a HOTY race can be called over in the first weekend of June (if the Belmont is the last go round).

Let's say Big Brown does it and retires the best hope would be Curlin (120) who would be 540 points a way. Gr I Stephen Foster + Gr I Arc + Gr I BC = 480, he'd be a little shy, but the Gr I Japan Cup could put him over.

Which would be the better season?
Triple Crown Winner or
Dubai WC + Stephen Foster + Arc + BC + Japan Cup

I'd have to side with Curlin on that one.

2 comments:

Michael said...

That's a hard question... I think even without the Arc or Japan Cup win the edge might still be to Curlin.

SaratogaSpa said...

Very tough choice, but I would side with Curlin. If he wins 5 races over the span of a year over 3 continents, I think that means more.